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THE INSIGHT EXPRESS
Social JusticeGS-22026-08-03

Allocation Is Not Expenditure — Where India's Health Money Leaks

Foreign health aid is drying up and debt is eating national budgets, so the useful question stops being how much India spends on health and becomes how well. The numbers are uncomfortable: two-thirds of the flagship health infrastructure budget spent, 26% of NHM disease programme funds used, under a quarter of public health money going to prevention. Three stages, three leakages — allocation is not expenditure, and expenditure is not outcome. With six model answers across budget credibility, the epidemiological transition, public goods, primary care and decentralisation.

Part 1

The Case

The Argument in One Read

Public spending on health is falling short across the world, and it is about to get harder. Three shifts are happening at once.

One — foreign health aid is drying up. Development Assistance for Health (DAH) is the money richer countries give poorer ones for health. The United States cut its foreign aid sharply in early 2025, and the United Kingdom, France and Germany followed. On current trends, overall global health funding could fall well below its 2022 peak.

Two — national budgets are squeezed by debt. Developing countries paid enormous sums in interest in 2024 alone. Every rupee of interest is a rupee not available for health, education or nutrition. The space to simply spend more has narrowed.

Three — so the question changes. If more money is unlikely to arrive, the useful question is no longer how much but how well. And that is where India's own numbers become uncomfortable.

The Three Fixes

Fix 1 — Spend what has already been allocated.

This sounds trivial. It is not. In India, only about two-thirds of the flagship health infrastructure mission's budget was actually spent in 2024-25. Under the National Health Mission, only about 26% of the money set aside for disease programmes was used.

Money is being allocated on paper and not reaching the ground. That is not a funding problem. It is an absorption problem — procurement delays, staff vacancies, and district systems that cannot convert a sanction into a service.

Fix 2 — Spend on the right things.

Too much public money goes to curative care — treating illness once it has arrived, usually in hospitals. Too little goes to preventive and primary care. India spends less than 25% of public health money on prevention.

The economic logic is sharp. Public money should concentrate on classic public goods — infectious disease control, sanitation, vaccination, surveillance — precisely because the private sector will not supply them. There is no profit in a mosquito-control programme. Curative care for common illness, where private providers already compete, has less claim on the public rupee.

Fix 3 — Improve governance.

Spending more where procurement is weak or accountability is thin does not buy better health. Credible budgets, clean procurement, involving frontline health workers in planning, and keeping flexibility for emergencies — the clearest lesson of Covid — matter as much as the size of the allocation.

The closing point is not that India should spend less. Enhanced spending is still needed, especially where outcomes are poorest. It is that how you spend matters as much as how much.

What a Rational Bureaucrat Takes Away

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Where This Connects — What You Have Already Read Here

Part 2

The Reusable Toolkit

Data Points Worth Memorising

Committees, Reports and Frameworks

Thesis Lines You Can Adapt

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Part 3

Model Answers

Six Model Answers — Framework and Answer

6 practise questions — written for this article, not found in any PYQ paper.Create a free account

What we covered

Allocation is not expenditure and expenditure is not outcome — three stages, three leakagesDevelopment Assistance for Health and why the aid tap is closingDebt service crowding out social spending in developing countriesBudget credibility as a measurable PEFA indicator, not a rhetorical flourishPM-ABHIM at roughly two-thirds utilisation, NHM disease programmes at 26%Underspending is a policy failure, not merely an accounting oneWhy salaries get spent and drugs, diagnostics and maintenance get squeezedThe curative bias — under a quarter of public health money goes to preventionMarket failure as the decision rule for where public money belongsClassic public goods in health — surveillance, immunisation, sanitation, vector controlThe political economy of visibility — a hospital can be inaugurated, a sewer cannotIndia's epidemiological transition — NCDs at about 66% of deaths, and the dual burdenAlma-Ata 1978 and Astana 2018 — primary care as the route to universal coverageThe NHM's three-tier architecture, 10 lakh ASHAs and 1.7 lakh Health and Wellness CentresMMR 97 and IMR 28 as primary-care victories; 40% out-of-pocket as the primary-care gapThe 79.5% specialist shortfall at Community Health CentresHealth as Entry 6 of the State List, devolved further by the 73rd and 74th AmendmentsThe inverse capacity problem — the States that most need transfers absorb them least15th Finance Commission health grants of ₹70,051 crore to local bodiesOutcome-linked transfers and State Health Accounts as the accountability instrumentsGovernance as a multiplier — administrative reform IS health reform