Public spending on health is falling short across the world, and it is about to get harder. Three shifts are happening at once.
One — foreign health aid is drying up. Development Assistance for Health (DAH) is the money richer countries give poorer ones for health. The United States cut its foreign aid sharply in early 2025, and the United Kingdom, France and Germany followed. On current trends, overall global health funding could fall well below its 2022 peak.
Two — national budgets are squeezed by debt. Developing countries paid enormous sums in interest in 2024 alone. Every rupee of interest is a rupee not available for health, education or nutrition. The space to simply spend more has narrowed.
Three — so the question changes. If more money is unlikely to arrive, the useful question is no longer how much but how well. And that is where India's own numbers become uncomfortable.